Equiratings’ Data-driven insights, storylines & statistics after the second day of the 2025 Jumping European Championships
A CORUÑA EQUIRATINGS’ DATA-DRIVEN INSIGHTS, STORYLINES & STATISTICS AHEAD OF THE 2025 JUMPING EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIPS AFTER DAY 2
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DAILY UPDATE - POST DAY 2 KEY INSIGHTS FROM THE SECOND QUALIFYING COMPETITION AT THE 2025 JUMPING EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIPS
A total of 25 combinations are within 4 penalties of one another after Day 2
A total of 22 combinations have jumped clear over the two rounds .
Across the last 7 European Championships (2011 onwards), only once has a Day 2 leader go on to win Individual Gold . Peder Fredricson & H&M All In in 2017
Richard Vogel is the first German rider in 14 years to be the Day 2 leader Carsten-Otto Nagel led after Day 2 in 2011
This is the first time in 18 years that the Day 1 Team leader held onto their lead after Day 2. Germany led both after Day 1 & Day 2 in 2007, when the Netherlands eventually went on to win after Day 3.
Great Britain has maintained the smallest post-Day 2 score (3.96) we have seen in 20 years.
Across the last 7 European Championships, only three times has the Day 2 leader of the Team Competition gone on to win Team Gold .
No European Team has been perfect across Day 2 and Day 3 during the past 7 European Championships. Two teams came close: In 2015, Team NL only added 1 penalty to their Day 1 score. In 2019, Team Belgium only added 1 penalty to their Day 1 score.
| INDIVIDUAL WIN & MEDAL CHANCES AFTER DAY 2 ACCORDING TO THE EQUIRATINGS PREDICTION CENTRE
| WHERE DID THE INDIVIDUAL GOLD MEDALISTS RANK AFTER DAY 2? NONE OF THE PAST 7 INDIVIDUAL GOLD MEDALISTS RANKED OUTSIDE THE TOP 8 AFTER DAY 2.
| ONLY 3 RIDERS HAVE SIMULTANEOUSLY HELD INDIVIDUAL EUROPEAN & OLYMPIC TITLES
It has been 37 years since a rider last simultaneously held both individual European and Olympic titles.
Christian Kukuk can match that feat here this weekend. He currently stands in 6th position after Day 2 riding Just Be Gentle.
| ONLY TWO RIDERS HAVE WON BACK-TO-BACK EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP TITLES
It has been 40 years since we last saw a rider win back-to-back Individual European titles
Steve Guerdat could become the third rider to do so, he currently sits in 5 position after Day 2. th He would be the first rider to do so on different horses.
He won the 2023 title on Dynamix de Belheme. This year, he rides Albführen’s Iashin Sitte.
| TEAM WIN & MEDAL CHANCES AFTER DAY 2 ACCORDING TO THE EQUIRATINGS PREDICTION CENTRE
| THE LAST TEAM GOLD WINNERS ALONGSIDE THEIR FINISHING SCORE & WINNING MARGIN
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THE LAST 10 EUROPEAN CHAMPIONS ALONGSIDE THEIR FINISHING SCORE & WINNING MARGIN
None of the last 10 European Champions completed their championship on 0 penalties.
| STARS OF THE SHOW THE TOP 20 ELO-RATED HORSES AT THE 2025 JUMPING EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIPS IN A CORUNA
*Includes career statistics in CSI5* 160 non jump-off rounds as a combination **Average Clear % refers to the average clear rate of the classes jumped
These 20 horses all rank among the Top 60 rated horses in the world. The 4 top-rated horses rank among the Top 10 globally.
WHAT IS THE ELO RATING?
CAREER COMPETITIVENESS The EquiRatings Elo is an objective horse rating (adapted from the Elo system originally developed for chess). A measure of how competitively you are performing and the quality of opponents you are beating. The rating works like a trading system: at every competition, a horse takes Elo points from the horses it beats while also giving away Elo points to the horses who finish ahead of it. The higher the Elo, the better. The all-time record is an 822 reached by King Edward (Henrik von Eckermann) in 2024. WHY WE USE ELO The EquiRatings Elo has predictive power. Horses with higher ratings jump clear more often.
Team show jumping is as much about managing risk as it is about maximizing performance. The table below shows how the EquiRatings Elo has been a strong guide to improving the chance of clears and reducing the chance of higher penalty rounds. The data is based on standard scoring 5-star rounds at 160+ in the 10-years from 2014 to September 2023.
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