Flip through the need-to-know stats and in-depth tables to be fully entertained and informed on all things Burghley 2024.
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Cover: Lordships Graffalo
3 5 6 7 9
The favourites How strong is this year’s field? Top 20 horses in the field Recent winners Top 10 finishing scores Dressage phase
11 18 24
Cross country phase Show jumping phase
prediction-centre.equiratings.com
The Elo is a horse rating. The higher, the better. Elo Field Strength is the average Elo rating of the top 20 horses in the field.
Elo rank in field
Horse (Elo rating)
rider
already won a five-star together = have
Michael Jung (GER) La Biosthetique-Sam FBW, 2015
Chris Burton (AUS) Nobilis 18, 2016
If Burghley 2016 had happened under today’s scoring, Jonelle Price & Classic Moët would have won.
So back then, Nobilis 18 had enough of a dressage buffer to absorb his 19.2 added penalties.
So Classic Moët, who added just 5.6 to her dressage score, would have surpassed him,
Did they f inish o n their d ressage score?
Historical scores converted to modern scoring.
6-run average: the average of a horse's last 6 international dressage scores. Lower is better.
i
Outside of Burghley, Vitali & Tim’s five-star scores range from 25.6 to 27.7
No roads & tracks or steeplechase
2006-2023
David Doel FOD’d with Galileo Nieuwmoed last year
0.9%
Historical scores converted to modern scoring.
Global five-star averages : 55% jump clear. 11% clear inside the time.
% who jumped clear and made the time
% who jumped clear
Would equal 34 of our 66 XC starters
Would be 2 of our 66 XC starters
Of all active 4* & 5* horses
Last 10 internationals
Ranked by current high performance metric but shown with adjusted XCJ clear rate
The higher this %, the better
Based on the Top Speed Percentage
The % of opponents a horse has outpaced on its fastest days. The higher the %, the better.
*
*
In 2013, Jock Paget & Clifton Promise were leading after XC but were DSQ’d. Jock & Clifton Lush were 2nd but WD before SJ. Avebury was originally in 3rd right after XC.
Which horses are out-performing their competitors in the show jumping phase? Here’s how we can tell.
Example
0.7
penalties per course
How many penalties you averaged over your last 6 courses
Example
3.9
penalties per course
How many penalties your competitors averaged over those same 6 courses
Example
-3.2
penalties per course
The difference between the two averages (you v. everyone else)
Negative is good! The horse has had fewer penalties than the average horse.
Oh really? But were the courses just easy?
He’s only had 4 penalties over his last 6 rounds!
See the ratings for this field’s top 10 show jumpers.
Ranked by current high performance metric but shown with adjusted SJ average
The lower, the better
A record that can’t be matched this year
Who has more clear Burghley SJ rounds than any other horse in the last 10 editions.
Topspin (Alice Casburn) is the only horses this year that can match Bango. He has 2 clear Burghley SJ rounds so far.
Topspin & Alice Casburn
Izilot DHI & Ros Canter
The stats and metrics in this form guide are brought to you by EquiRatings, a data analysis company dedicated to horse sports. EquiRatings develops and delivers unique, data-driven insights to showcase athletes, empower audiences and elevate the sport.
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