Flip through the headline stats and in-depth tables to be fully informed on all things Sapphire Grand Prix Devon 2024.
THURSDAY IN DEVON FAN GUIDE USEF
Thursday, 30 May 2024 7:00PM
on the
THE FORMAT
23 combinations The goal is to not knock down any fences For every fence knocked down, 4 penalties will be added
Combinations have to complete the course within a time allowed , set by the course designer One penalty will be added for each commenced second exceeding the time allowed
Combinations with the equal lowest number of penalties (usually all the clear rounds ) will return for the jump-off The jump-off is a shortened version of Round 1 Speed is key The winner is the combination with the lowest number of penalties and the fastest time in the jump-off.
Thursday, 30 May 2024 7:00PM on the
FEI SAPPHIRE GRAND PRIX
OF DEVON
in the Dixon Oval
BECOME A USEF FREE FAN
WATCH LIVE FOR FREE
Predictions powered by
Show jumping allows very little room for error . It takes just millimeters or fractions of a second to dash a competitor’s hopes of winning. When the field is stacked with some of the best in the world , you end up with a 1 in 5 chance of winning across some of the most-consistent names in the sport. WHO WINS? The Devon Horse Show is more than just a standard equestrian competition. The Sapphire Grand Prix is the premier jumping competition at Devon. WINNING IT WON’T BE EASY. AND THAT’S WHAT MAKES IT SO EXCITING TO WATCH. The seemingly low win odds you’ll see on the following pages reflect the level of chance in the sport and the level of greatness in the field.
Enjoy the show.
THE FAVORITE
McLain Ward’s legacy is legendary here in Devon. Riding Contagious, he represented Team USA at the Tokyo Olympics and won the 2022 Devon Grand Prix.
Highest win chance in the field
Highest clear chance in the field
The highest-rated US horse in the world currently
Most recent run is clear round at 160
Learn more about this form guide on page 12.
2nd highest ranked US Rider
THE U.S. CONTENDER
A well-experienced combination who helped Team USA win Team Gold at the 2018 World Equestrian Games. Most recently, they qualified for the World Cup Finals in Riyadh last April.
Joint second- highest win chance in the field.
7th place in the WEF9 Challenge Cup
Great result at 2018 World Cup Finals in Paris
Learn more about this form guide on page 12.
THE ONE TO WATCH
Another combination with Olympic experience. They are in superb form this year and finished on the podium in the 3* Grand Prix of North Salem just two weeks ago.
this may seem low but is high for this sport
Two clear rounds recently at 160cm coming into this competition
One of the oldest horses in this class
Learn more about this form guide on page 12.
Nations Cup Final Silver in 2021
BIG CONTENDERS We have huge talent on display today, here are ten that the numbers have identified as ones to track.
A horse rating. The higher the better. See more on page 11.
Elo
?
What is the
The EquiRatings Elo is an objective horse rating (adapted from the Elo system originally developed for chess).
It is a measure of how competitively you are performing and the quality of opponents you are beating . It works like a trading system.
B l
HOW IT WORKS
AT THE CONCLUSION OF EVERY CLASS: Horse A gives Elo points to Horse B . Horse A takes Elo points from Horse C . Horse A ends up with a net Elo gain or loss of Elo points.
A
l
All-time highest Elo: 810
Reached by King Edward (Henrik von Eckermann ) at Gothenburg, Feb 2024
1
2
5
3
4
Chance of finishing the first round on 0 penalties (based on EquiRatings predictive modelling). Predicted Jumping Clear Chance 1 Current Rating The horse's Elo rating and where that rating ranks among all other horses in this class. 2 Percentage of clear rounds from all CSI5* 160+ attempts over the horse's career (excluding jump-offs) Clear Rate (160+) 3 According to the High Performance Rating (HPR). The HPR measures how good a performance was based on the strength of the fellow competitors, the size of the field, and the final placing. The record HPR is a 120 achieved by winning the 2023 Rolex Grand Prix at CHI Geneva (United Touch S & Richard Vogel). Highest Rated Performance 4 The boxes show the number of penalties received in each of their last 8 top-level classes. The 150, 155 & 160 along the left side are the class heights at which those penalties occurred. Jump-off results are not included. The graph goes chronologically from left (earliest) to right (most-recent). Recent Form 5
Ilan Bluman
27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Acajou 9 years old
Current Rating Ranked 16th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
605
160
20%
Highest Rated Performance 7/Wellington, FL/2024
155
8 12
4
58
Rider FEI Ranking
150
662nd
3
0
Stella Wasserman
20% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Play 12 years old
Current Rating Ranked 20th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
531
160
16
19%
Highest Rated Performance 2/Wellington, FL/2023
155
6 4
20
8
79
Rider FEI Ranking
150
1465th
4 12
4
Alex Matz
32% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Ikigai 11 years old
Current Rating Ranked 12th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
628
160
4 4
4
16
20%
Highest Rated Performance 10/Wellington, FL/2023
155
50
Rider FEI Ranking
150
206th
4 4
8
0
Daniel Bluman
40% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Gemma W 13 years old
Current Rating Ranked 3rd in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
704
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
4
4
41%
Highest Rated Performance 2/Wellington FL/2021
155
0 R
0 4
R
96
Rider FEI Ranking
150
26th
R
Jordan Coyle
39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
For Gold 13 years old
Current Rating Ranked 8th in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
668
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
R
8
4
41%
Highest Rated Performance 3/Wellington, FL/2024
155
0
8
4
87
Rider FEI Ranking
150
60th
0
5
Lillie Keenan
23% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Kick On 10 years old
Current Rating Ranked 19th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
576
160
50%
Highest Rated Performance 10/North Salem, NY/2024
155
8
46
Rider FEI Ranking
150
40th
5 0 0
Sarah Segal Boreale De Fondcombe 13 years old
18% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Current Rating Ranked 21st in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
520
160
24%
Highest Rated Performance 8/Bourg en Bresse/2021
155
12
53
Rider FEI Ranking
150
749th
8 9 4 0 4 8
29
McLain Ward
54% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Contagious 15 years old
Current Rating Ranked 1st in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
766
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
0 8 4 R
4 4 0
56%
Highest Rated Performance Team 2nd/Tokyo/2021
155
4
105
Rider FEI Ranking
150
9th
Raleigh Hiler Obora'S Chloe 13 years old
26% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Current Rating Ranked 18th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
589
160
1
11
8
26%
Highest Rated Performance 2/Madrid/2021
155
10
2
79
Rider FEI Ranking
150
1198th
13 2
R
Chloe Reid
35% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Crossover 4 11 years old
Current Rating Ranked 10th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
635
160
E
E
8
4
30%
Highest Rated Performance 2/Ottawa ON/2023
155
5
4
0
72
Rider FEI Ranking
150
175th
0
Jacqueline Ruyle
30% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
San Chano 15 years old
Current Rating Ranked 13th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
620
160
1
0%
Highest Rated Performance 5/Mill Spring, NC/2023
155
64
Rider FEI Ranking
150
246th
4
4
Lucy Matz
14% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Fyolieta 14 years old
Current Rating Ranked 23rd in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
484
160
22%
Highest Rated Performance 4/Knokke/2022
155
4 8 8
9
89
Rider FEI Ranking
150
2303rd
9 8 R 17
Jimmy Torano
27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Chewbacca 12 years old
Current Rating Ranked 14th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
607
160
5
8
14
6
14%
Highest Rated Performance 1/Bridgehampton NY/2023
155
2
0
12
71
Rider FEI Ranking
150
270th
8
Jessica Mendoza
39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
I-Cap Cl Z 12 years old
Current Rating Ranked 6th in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
689
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
4 24 4 8 4
33%
Highest Rated Performance 7/Wellington, FL/2023
155
8 4
78
Rider FEI Ranking
150
87th
0
Vasco Flores
14% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Cosmona 13 years old
Current Rating Ranked 22nd in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
494
160
6 28
8
R
R
10%
Highest Rated Performance 1/Calgary, Spruce Meadows AB/2022
155
8
73
Rider FEI Ranking
150
815th
1
1
Darragh Kenny
46% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
VDL Cartello 17 years old
Current Rating Ranked 2nd in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
732
160
0
4
0 4 0
40%
Highest Rated Performance Team 2nd/Barcelona/2021
155
8
112
Rider FEI Ranking
150
21st
0
8
Devin Ryan
39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Eddie Blue 15 years old
Current Rating Ranked 5th in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
697
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
4
7 4 5 4
48%
Highest Rated Performance 1/Paris/2018
155
0
4
103
Rider FEI Ranking
150
236th
8
Hallie Grimes Karoline Of Ballmore 14 years old
27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Current Rating Ranked 14th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
607
160
R
26%
Highest Rated Performance 1/Wellington FL/2022
155
0
101
Rider FEI Ranking
150
237th
E 0 E 0 4
0
Mark Bluman
39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Ubiluc 12 years old
Current Rating Ranked 4th in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
698
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
0
6
28%
Highest Rated Performance 3/Wellington FL/2022
155
0 0
8 E
0
73
Rider FEI Ranking
150
93rd
0
Mimi Gochman
34% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Inclen Bh 9 years old
Current Rating Ranked 11th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
633
160
4
31%
Highest Rated Performance 5/Wellington, FL/2024
155
8
63
Rider FEI Ranking
150
90th
4
0 0 4
0 4
Zayna Rizvi Exquise Du Pachis 14 years old
35% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Current Rating Ranked 9th in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
643
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
0
8
12
28%
Highest Rated Performance 3/Wellington, FL/2024
155
4
8 8 4
70
Rider FEI Ranking
150
274th
1
Shane Sweetnam
39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Otis Blue 10 years old
Current Rating Ranked 7th in this class
Recent Form
most recent >>
681
Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
160
4
4 0 0
56%
Highest Rated Performance 1/Ocala, FL/2024
155
111
Rider FEI Ranking
150
12th
5 9 0
0
Spencer Brittan
27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%
Stakan 4 12 years old
Current Rating Ranked 17th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)
Recent Form
most recent >>
596
160
4
14
2
15%
Highest Rated Performance 4/Wellington, FL/2024
155
4
55
Rider FEI Ranking
150
629th
12
8
4
7
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