USEF Fan Guide - Devon Horse Show

Flip through the headline stats and in-depth tables to be fully informed on all things Sapphire Grand Prix Devon 2024.

THURSDAY IN DEVON FAN GUIDE USEF

Thursday, 30 May 2024 7:00PM

on the

THE FORMAT

23 combinations The goal is to not knock down any fences For every fence knocked down, 4 penalties will be added

Combinations have to complete the course within a time allowed , set by the course designer One penalty will be added for each commenced second exceeding the time allowed

Combinations with the equal lowest number of penalties (usually all the clear rounds ) will return for the jump-off The jump-off is a shortened version of Round 1 Speed is key The winner is the combination with the lowest number of penalties and the fastest time in the jump-off.

Thursday, 30 May 2024 7:00PM on the

FEI SAPPHIRE GRAND PRIX

OF DEVON

in the Dixon Oval

BECOME A USEF FREE FAN

WATCH LIVE FOR FREE

Predictions powered by

Show jumping allows very little room for error . It takes just millimeters or fractions of a second to dash a competitor’s hopes of winning. When the field is stacked with some of the best in the world , you end up with a 1 in 5 chance of winning across some of the most-consistent names in the sport. WHO WINS? The Devon Horse Show is more than just a standard equestrian competition. The Sapphire Grand Prix is the premier jumping competition at Devon. WINNING IT WON’T BE EASY. AND THAT’S WHAT MAKES IT SO EXCITING TO WATCH. The seemingly low win odds you’ll see on the following pages reflect the level of chance in the sport and the level of greatness in the field.

Enjoy the show.

THE FAVORITE

McLain Ward’s legacy is legendary here in Devon. Riding Contagious, he represented Team USA at the Tokyo Olympics and won the 2022 Devon Grand Prix.

Highest win chance in the field

Highest clear chance in the field

The highest-rated US horse in the world currently

Most recent run is clear round at 160

Learn more about this form guide on page 12.

2nd highest ranked US Rider

THE U.S. CONTENDER

A well-experienced combination who helped Team USA win Team Gold at the 2018 World Equestrian Games. Most recently, they qualified for the World Cup Finals in Riyadh last April.

Joint second- highest win chance in the field.

7th place in the WEF9 Challenge Cup

Great result at 2018 World Cup Finals in Paris

Learn more about this form guide on page 12.

THE ONE TO WATCH

Another combination with Olympic experience. They are in superb form this year and finished on the podium in the 3* Grand Prix of North Salem just two weeks ago.

this may seem low but is high for this sport

Two clear rounds recently at 160cm coming into this competition

One of the oldest horses in this class

Learn more about this form guide on page 12.

Nations Cup Final Silver in 2021

BIG CONTENDERS We have huge talent on display today, here are ten that the numbers have identified as ones to track.

A horse rating. The higher the better. See more on page 11.

Elo

?

What is the

The EquiRatings Elo is an objective horse rating (adapted from the Elo system originally developed for chess).

It is a measure of how competitively you are performing and the quality of opponents you are beating . It works like a trading system.

B l

HOW IT WORKS

AT THE CONCLUSION OF EVERY CLASS: Horse A gives Elo points to Horse B . Horse A takes Elo points from Horse C . Horse A ends up with a net Elo gain or loss of Elo points.

A

l

All-time highest Elo: 810

Reached by King Edward (Henrik von Eckermann ) at Gothenburg, Feb 2024

1

2

5

3

4

Chance of finishing the first round on 0 penalties (based on EquiRatings predictive modelling). Predicted Jumping Clear Chance 1 Current Rating The horse's Elo rating and where that rating ranks among all other horses in this class. 2 Percentage of clear rounds from all CSI5* 160+ attempts over the horse's career (excluding jump-offs) Clear Rate (160+) 3 According to the High Performance Rating (HPR). The HPR measures how good a performance was based on the strength of the fellow competitors, the size of the field, and the final placing. The record HPR is a 120 achieved by winning the 2023 Rolex Grand Prix at CHI Geneva (United Touch S & Richard Vogel). Highest Rated Performance 4 The boxes show the number of penalties received in each of their last 8 top-level classes. The 150, 155 & 160 along the left side are the class heights at which those penalties occurred. Jump-off results are not included. The graph goes chronologically from left (earliest) to right (most-recent). Recent Form 5

Ilan Bluman

27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Acajou 9 years old

Current Rating Ranked 16th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

605

160

20%

Highest Rated Performance 7/Wellington, FL/2024

155

8 12

4

58

Rider FEI Ranking

150

662nd

3

0

Stella Wasserman

20% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Play 12 years old

Current Rating Ranked 20th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

531

160

16

19%

Highest Rated Performance 2/Wellington, FL/2023

155

6 4

20

8

79

Rider FEI Ranking

150

1465th

4 12

4

Alex Matz

32% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Ikigai 11 years old

Current Rating Ranked 12th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

628

160

4 4

4

16

20%

Highest Rated Performance 10/Wellington, FL/2023

155

50

Rider FEI Ranking

150

206th

4 4

8

0

Daniel Bluman

40% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Gemma W 13 years old

Current Rating Ranked 3rd in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

704

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

4

4

41%

Highest Rated Performance 2/Wellington FL/2021

155

0 R

0 4

R

96

Rider FEI Ranking

150

26th

R

Jordan Coyle

39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

For Gold 13 years old

Current Rating Ranked 8th in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

668

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

R

8

4

41%

Highest Rated Performance 3/Wellington, FL/2024

155

0

8

4

87

Rider FEI Ranking

150

60th

0

5

Lillie Keenan

23% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Kick On 10 years old

Current Rating Ranked 19th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

576

160

50%

Highest Rated Performance 10/North Salem, NY/2024

155

8

46

Rider FEI Ranking

150

40th

5 0 0

Sarah Segal Boreale De Fondcombe 13 years old

18% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Current Rating Ranked 21st in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

520

160

24%

Highest Rated Performance 8/Bourg en Bresse/2021

155

12

53

Rider FEI Ranking

150

749th

8 9 4 0 4 8

29

McLain Ward

54% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Contagious 15 years old

Current Rating Ranked 1st in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

766

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

0 8 4 R

4 4 0

56%

Highest Rated Performance Team 2nd/Tokyo/2021

155

4

105

Rider FEI Ranking

150

9th

Raleigh Hiler Obora'S Chloe 13 years old

26% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Current Rating Ranked 18th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

589

160

1

11

8

26%

Highest Rated Performance 2/Madrid/2021

155

10

2

79

Rider FEI Ranking

150

1198th

13 2

R

Chloe Reid

35% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Crossover 4 11 years old

Current Rating Ranked 10th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

635

160

E

E

8

4

30%

Highest Rated Performance 2/Ottawa ON/2023

155

5

4

0

72

Rider FEI Ranking

150

175th

0

Jacqueline Ruyle

30% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

San Chano 15 years old

Current Rating Ranked 13th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

620

160

1

0%

Highest Rated Performance 5/Mill Spring, NC/2023

155

64

Rider FEI Ranking

150

246th

4

4

Lucy Matz

14% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Fyolieta 14 years old

Current Rating Ranked 23rd in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

484

160

22%

Highest Rated Performance 4/Knokke/2022

155

4 8 8

9

89

Rider FEI Ranking

150

2303rd

9 8 R 17

Jimmy Torano

27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Chewbacca 12 years old

Current Rating Ranked 14th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

607

160

5

8

14

6

14%

Highest Rated Performance 1/Bridgehampton NY/2023

155

2

0

12

71

Rider FEI Ranking

150

270th

8

Jessica Mendoza

39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

I-Cap Cl Z 12 years old

Current Rating Ranked 6th in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

689

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

4 24 4 8 4

33%

Highest Rated Performance 7/Wellington, FL/2023

155

8 4

78

Rider FEI Ranking

150

87th

0

Vasco Flores

14% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Cosmona 13 years old

Current Rating Ranked 22nd in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

494

160

6 28

8

R

R

10%

Highest Rated Performance 1/Calgary, Spruce Meadows AB/2022

155

8

73

Rider FEI Ranking

150

815th

1

1

Darragh Kenny

46% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

VDL Cartello 17 years old

Current Rating Ranked 2nd in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

732

160

0

4

0 4 0

40%

Highest Rated Performance Team 2nd/Barcelona/2021

155

8

112

Rider FEI Ranking

150

21st

0

8

Devin Ryan

39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Eddie Blue 15 years old

Current Rating Ranked 5th in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

697

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

4

7 4 5 4

48%

Highest Rated Performance 1/Paris/2018

155

0

4

103

Rider FEI Ranking

150

236th

8

Hallie Grimes Karoline Of Ballmore 14 years old

27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Current Rating Ranked 14th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

607

160

R

26%

Highest Rated Performance 1/Wellington FL/2022

155

0

101

Rider FEI Ranking

150

237th

E 0 E 0 4

0

Mark Bluman

39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Ubiluc 12 years old

Current Rating Ranked 4th in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

698

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

0

6

28%

Highest Rated Performance 3/Wellington FL/2022

155

0 0

8 E

0

73

Rider FEI Ranking

150

93rd

0

Mimi Gochman

34% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Inclen Bh 9 years old

Current Rating Ranked 11th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

633

160

4

31%

Highest Rated Performance 5/Wellington, FL/2024

155

8

63

Rider FEI Ranking

150

90th

4

0 0 4

0 4

Zayna Rizvi Exquise Du Pachis 14 years old

35% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Current Rating Ranked 9th in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

643

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

0

8

12

28%

Highest Rated Performance 3/Wellington, FL/2024

155

4

8 8 4

70

Rider FEI Ranking

150

274th

1

Shane Sweetnam

39% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Otis Blue 10 years old

Current Rating Ranked 7th in this class

Recent Form

most recent >>

681

Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

160

4

4 0 0

56%

Highest Rated Performance 1/Ocala, FL/2024

155

111

Rider FEI Ranking

150

12th

5 9 0

0

Spencer Brittan

27% Predicted Jumping Clear Chance Field Average: 31%

Stakan 4 12 years old

Current Rating Ranked 17th in this class Clear Rate (150+) at 4* & 5*/150+ (horse only)

Recent Form

most recent >>

596

160

4

14

2

15%

Highest Rated Performance 4/Wellington, FL/2024

155

4

55

Rider FEI Ranking

150

629th

12

8

4

7

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